highly unlikely/unpredictable event
book by Nassim Taleb (written 2003-2006)
John Robb posts:
from 2005 on the Homeland Security list of attack scenarios. Events of this type should be categorized as black swans -- unpredictable events. As the Security "big thinker" Bruce Schneier points out in his book "BeyondFear", defense against black swan scenarios are a waste of limited resources.
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