| WebSeitz/wikilog |
| Black Swan |
|
| last edited by BillSeitz on Sep 22, 2008 4:14 pm |
highly unlikely/unpredictable event
John Robb posts:
from 2004 on Nassim Taleb's theory that the World Trade Center attack was a Black Swan.
from 2005 on the Homeland Security list of attack scenarios. Events of this type should be categorized as black swans -- unpredictable events. As the Secur Ity "big thinker" Bruce Schneier points out in his book "[Beyond Fear]", defense against black swan scenarios are a waste of limited resources.
| User Options Recent Changes Help Page |