One Big Beautiful Bill Act

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), or the Big Beautiful Bill (P.L. 119-21), is a U.S. federal statute passed by the 119th United States Congress containing tax and spending policies that form the core of President Donald Trump's second-term agenda. The bill was signed into law by Trump on July 4, 2025.[1][2] Although the Act is popularly referred to as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, this official short title was removed from the bill during the Senate amendment process. Therefore, the law has no official short title. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_Big_Beautiful_Bill_Act

  • It permanently extends the individual tax rates Trump signed into law in 2017, which were set to expire at the end of 2025. It raises the cap on the state and local tax deduction to $40,000 for taxpayers making less than $500,000, with the cap reverting to $10,000 after five years. The OBBBA includes several tax deductions for tips, overtime pay, auto loans, and creates Trump accounts, allowing parents to create tax-deferred accounts for the benefit of their children, all set to expire in 2028. It includes a permanent $200 increase in the child tax credit, a 1% tax on remittances, and a tax hike on investment income from college endowments. It phases out some clean energy tax credits that were included in the Biden-era Inflation Reduction Act, and promotes fossil fuels over renewable energy. It increases a tax credit for advanced semiconductor manufacturing and repeals a tax on firearm silencers.[4]
  • It raises the federal debt ceiling by $5 trillion while making a significant 12% cut to Medicaid spending.[5] The OBBBA expands work requirements (workfare) for SNAP benefits (formerly called "food stamps") recipients (and Medicaid) and makes states responsible for some costs relating to the food assistance program. The OBBBA includes $150 billion in new defense spending and another $150 billion for border enforcement and deportations. The law increases the funding for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) from $10 billion to more than $100 billion by 2029, making it the single most funded federal law enforcement agency.

Passed the US-Senate 51-50 mostly on party lines

  • 3 republicans had the integrity to vote against it: Susan Collins (because of medicaid cuts) (note she initially provided a procedural vote to advance the bill to the floor), Rand Paul (he supported the tax cuts, but not the debt increase, and didn't oppose any specific spending increases), and Thom Tillis (opposed the medicaid cuts and lowering of the cap on medicaid provider taxes)

Passed the House of Representatives mostly on party lines

  • 2 Republicans voted No (Warren Davidson (actually he flipped to Yes on the Senate-approved final version - Davidson previously opposed the House bill for not being more aggressive in cutting spending... (also Democrats’ reaction helped me persuade that, wow, maybe this bill does, does do some really good things.) and Thomas Massie (due to increased debt), and 1 voted Present (Andy Harris (he wanted more spending cuts to reduce the debt effect, but voted Present instead of No to avoid pissing off Trump))

re work requirements for Medicaid

How many people will this apply to in the US, and what portion of those are currently unemployed?

An estimated 18.5 million people will be subject to the new Medicaid work requirements nationwide. Data shows that the vast majority of this group is actually already employed rather than being out of work. [1, 2]

Breakdown of the Affected Population

  • The Working Majority (66% to 75%): Approximately two-thirds or more of the Medicaid enrollees subject to the rules are already employed. However, studies note that around 20% of these working individuals (potentially up to 10 million people) are still at risk of losing coverage. This is primarily because low-wage, variable-hour jobs often fail to provide consistent, predictable schedules that reach the strict 80-hour monthly minimum. [2, 3, 4]
  • The Unemployed Portion (Roughly 25% to 34%): Only a minority of the targeted population is completely out of work. Historical data from organizations like the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) shows that among those who are unemployed and not formally exempt, the primary reasons for not working include illness or disability that does not meet strict federal SSI criteria, caregiving responsibilities, or being in school. [5]

Projected Coverage Losses

Because of administrative hurdles, volatile work schedules, and a shift to more frequent 6-month eligibility redeterminations, non-partisan policy groups and federal agencies estimate significant coverage drops:

  • The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects that roughly 5.2 million people will ultimately lose coverage under the mandate.
  • The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) estimates that approximately 2.3 million people will be disenrolled in fiscal year 2027 alone as states phase in the rules. [1]

[1] https://www.healthinsurance.org [2] https://www.usnews.com [3] https://www.reddit.com [4] https://www.docwirenews.com [5] https://www.ajmc.com [6] https://www.kff.org


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