Thinking In Bets
The mental practice of acknowledging the uncertainty/risk of every belief or decision or action.
Phrase comes from Thinking In Bets by Annie Duke ISBN:0735216371
cf Little Bet (compounding results through learning), Model (Model building), Belief, Experiment, Scientific Method, Prediction Market, Disputation Arena
Perception, Interpretation
2017-08-08-GerransLethePsychedelicsWorkByViolatingOurModelsOfSelfAndTheWorld
Action
Life
- Effective Entrepreneur
- Intervention Roulette
- Experiment Without Limits - hmm only a tiny bit in there, despite the title
- Model Agnosticism
- Claim-Refactoring Service
- related: incremental/trial (Little-Bet) models: Apprenticeship, Stair-step, Side-gig...
- Data-Informed Product Management, Quadruple-Loop Product Management
- North Star Playbook
- Shape Up
- (2011-04-20) Lean Agile Production Vs Theory Building
- Portfolio
OODA, loops All The Way Down
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